Mind · Inference

PredictionErrorMinimization#5a5c

A system stays viable by continually predicting inputs and reducing surprise

Mechanism

A system holds a model of what comes next, compares it with what arrives, and adjusts either its model or its actions to reduce the mismatch. Variational free energy minimization and the principle of least action are candidate first-principles framings of this drive.

Invariants

  • The system carries an explicit or implicit prediction of incoming signals
  • Mismatch between prediction and input drives adaptation

Failure modes

  • Reducing surprise by avoiding all novelty
  • Model complexity that exceeds the compute available to run it

Used by

Identity

The name is the hash of the definition. Change a word and it becomes a different pattern.

Sema ID
sema:PredictionErrorMinimization#mh:SHA-256:5a5c8ef472f994f11d8aba5b5c9b40b6c96fea601efab2838cc73ba734244fcc
Reference
PredictionErrorMinimization#5a5c
Ring
1
Tier
2